And we’ve got a special deal going on for the Super Bowl: Not a member of Awesemo? Sign up to gain access to ALL of our data, tools, projections, articles and MORE! Use promo code FROMTHESLOT for half off your first week. Average Game Totals for Each Lineup Construction I can’t remember a slate this season that didn’t have one of the top three or four projected players going under-owned in the captain spot. You’re better off building with a top-priced, highly projected captain option that might be under-owned relative to their odds at taking home top scorer on that slate. It might even plus e/v to not pair up a WR with a QB, given that most DFSers are fully aware of the importance of correlation.Ĭonclusion: As we see in Awesemo’s top showdown plays projections for every slate, cheap, low-upside fliers often go over-owned in GPPs.

Of the 15 WR captains, 10 were paired with their QB, meaning you can get away with no correlation.

Three CPT QBs were paired with just one pass catcher and two of those were mobile, ‘run-first’ QBs in Mitch Trubisky, Marcus Mariota.

Of the 10 captain QBs, six were paired with two WR/TEs, one with three WR/TEs.

Every captain quarterback was paired with at least one WR or TE.

Kickers, most tight ends and depth receivers go over-owned in the captain spot.

The wide receiver captain lineups had an average game total of 48 points.

The four DST captains combined for a middling game-total average of 43.5 and those games finished an average of eight points under the projected game total.

I’m sure we can all remember a time we thought we were being smart by stuffing in a bell-cow back at the captain, then bringing it back with multiple opposition pass catchers, but it doesn’t seem to be a winning formula. The 2-4 and 1-5 lineup constructions are probably going overused. As we’ll see below, this winning construction often happens earlier in the season and in games that aren’t expected to blow out, so use it liberally in situations where it might feel like a bad idea. Most Common Winning Lineup ConstructionĬonclusion: 5-1 is an underused lineup construction, found in around 25% of winning lineups, yet used by DFSers between 10-15% of the time. Below the analysis, you’ll find a spreadsheet with every game, total, point spread and winning lineup from 2019, which you can use to sort through through, via a link to the spreadsheet. With the biggest NFL DFS showdown slate of the year on tap for Super Bowl 54 between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, let’s take a look at every single winning lineup from 47 showdown slate from the 2019 season on DraftKings (largest GPP) and see if we can figure out some takeaways for this game and into next season.

Best super bowl draftkings lineup